This season's chase will be most open since the playoff chase started in 2003.
The drivers represented in this year's chase:
#11 Denny Hamlin
#48 Jimmie Johnson
#29 Kevin Harvick
#18 Kyle Busch
#2 Kurt Busch
#34 Tony Stewart
#16 Greg Bifle
#24 Jeff Gordon
#99 Carl Edwards
#31 Jeff Burton
#17 Mat Kenseth
and #33 Clint Bowyer
won 21 of 26 "regular season" cup races as oppose to 17 of 26 in 2009 season and 22 of 26 in 2008 season.
Busch, Hamlin and Johnson are a threat to win every race in the chase because of their aggressive driving styles. Tony Stewart is the hottest driver leading into the chase, scoring the most points in last 10 and 15 races. Carl Edwards is also hot with back to back top 10 finishes in a newly rejuvenated Rousch Camp.
My favorite driver Jeff Gordon doesn't look like he has what it takes to win a race. If he keeps on averaging a top 10, survive Talladega and Martinsville in which he both excels at, and others falter, he may have a legit shot of winning the championship without winning a race.
It's nice to see all 3 RCR cars in the chase. Last year at this point of schedule, they were 15th (Bowyer), 18 (Burton) and 22nd (Harvick). Every car in the chase as a fellow teammate alongside except Kurt Busch. Once again he'll be the long ranger and probably not receiving any help from Mr. I'll-wreck-anybody Brad Keselowski.
As for the chase of the rest, I feel only 9 cars are in that chase for $1 million bonus.
#39 Ryan Newman
#1 Jamie McMurray -31 pts
#5 Mark Martin - 57
#42 Juan Montoya - 62
#9 Kasey Kahne - 116
#88 Dale Earnhardt Jr - 140
#56 Martin Truex Jr - 164
#20 Joey Logano - 172
#43 A.J. Allmendinger - 178
I will pick Juan Montoya to win this because his car has been a top 10 car every week, just too much bad luck whether its crashes or pit strategy.
I'll be looking forward to hard racing, lots of wrecks and cautions and not boring green flag snoozer races similar to Richmond and Atlanta. Talladega will be INSANE and may determine final standings of chase. As for the championship, I love Gordon but like I said earlier, he can't race as well as the young guns. No one can go against 4-time defending champion Jimmie Johnson. Maybe in 3 years, people can give him as much respect as Michael Schumacher (7-time winner).
P.S. Looking forward to Danica back into the Nationwide car.